Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

Accenture LTD (ACN) appears to be resuming its October 2019 advance following about 6 weeks of sideways investor indecision.  A sustained rise above the upper boundary of the indecision area, currently at $210.85, would help confirm this and target an additional 4% rise to $220.00 per share.

Analysis and Rationale

Accenture LTD (ACN) provides consulting, technology, and outsourcing services worldwide. Its Communications, Media & Technology segment provides professional services for clients to accelerate and deliver digital transformation, develop industry-specific solutions, and enhance efficiencies and business results for communications, media, high tech, software, and platform companies. The company’s Financial Services segment offers services for profitability pressures, industry consolidation, regulatory changes, and the need to continually adapt to new digital technologies for banking, capital market, and insurance industries. Its Health & Public Service segment provides consulting services and digital solutions to help clients deliver social, economic, and health outcomes for healthcare payers and providers, government departments and agencies, public service organizations, educational institutions, and non-profit organizations. The company’s Products segment helps clients enhance their performance in distribution, sales, and marketing; in research and development, and manufacturing; and in business functions, such as finance, human resources, procurement, and supply chain. Its Resources segment enables clients in chemicals, energy, forest products, metals and mining, and utilities and related industries to develop and implement strategies, improve operations, manage complex change initiatives, and integrate digital technologies. Accenture plc has alliance relationships with Amazon Web Services, Google, Microsoft, Oracle, Pegasystems, Salesforce, SAP, Workday, TradeIX, and others. Accenture plc was founded in 1989 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

Chart 1 below plots ACN daily since mid 2019 along with its 200-day moving average, a widely-watched major trend proxy.  The colored highlights show that the stock appears to be resuming its larger October 2019 advance following about 6 weeks of sideways investor indecision.  A sustained rise above the upper boundary of the indecision area, currently at $210.85, would help confirm this and target an additional 4% rise to $220.00 per share.

Chart 1

ACN has maintained statistically significant and stable positive correlation to the NASDAQ Composite Index (COMP) throughout the past 15 years.  Per the correlation, we  view this emerging breakout in ACN as being similarly positive for technology stocks in general.

Table 1 below shows that, considering the aforementioned upside target and a protective stop placed below the $209.75 area, a long entry price of $212.25 would provide a 1:3.1 risk/reward ratio (risking $1.00 to make $3.1) with an initial risk of just 1.2%.

Table 1


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