Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) appears to be resuming its February decline following 3 months of sideways investor decision.  A sustained decline below the $49.64 area would confirm this and target an additional 26% decline to $34.80 per share.  This is an Asbury Momentum idea.

Analysis and Rationale

Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) operates as a utility holding company that provides regulated electricity and natural gas services in the Midwest region of the United States. It operates through three segments: Electric, Gas, and Other. The company, through its subsidiary, Interstate Power and Light Company (IPL), primarily generates and distributes electricity, and distributes and transports natural gas to retail customers in Iowa; sells electricity to wholesale customers in Minnesota, Illinois, and Iowa; and generates and distributes steam in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. Alliant Energy Corporation, through its other subsidiary, Wisconsin Power and Light Company (WPL), generates and distributes electricity, and distributes and transports natural gas to retail customers in Wisconsin; and sells electricity to wholesale customers in Wisconsin. As of December 31, 2018, IPL supplied electricity to 490,000 retail customers and natural gas to 225,000 retail customers; and WPL supplied electricity to 475,000 retail customers and natural gas to 190,000 retail customers. It offers electric utility services to retail customers in the farming, agriculture, industrial manufacturing, chemical, and packaging industries.  Alliant Energy Corporation was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin.

Chart 1 below plots LNT daily since July 2019 and shows that price is currently breaking down from 3 months sideways price activity, indicative of investor indecision.  This recent breakdown suggests the larger February decline is resuming and targets an additional 28% decline to $34.80 per share.  This downside target will remain valid as long as the upper boundary of the indecision area, currently situated near $49.64, now loosely contains as overhead resistance.

Chart 1

Table 1 below shows, considering the aforementioned downside target and a protective stop placed above the $50.34 area, a short entry price of $48.20 would provide a 1:6.3 risk/reward ratio (risking $1.00 to make $6.30) with an initial risk of 4,4%.

Table 1


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