Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

The SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) is in the midst of a July minor uptrend, according to its 50-day moving average, and is currently making  new all-time highs.  In addition, the total net assets invested in KBE (AUM) are amid a Sep 17th trend of monthly expansion while KBE has also been outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) on a quarterly Strategic basis since Oct 15th.  Together, these factors establish favorable conditions for more outright strength and relative outperformance from KBE and other banking related assets.

KBE Breaking Resistance Amid Expanding Assets & Relative Outperformance

The upper panel of Chart 1 below shows that the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) is in the midst of a July minor uptrend as defined by its 50-day moving average and is currently making new all-time highs.  The middle panel shows that the total net assets invested in KBE (AUM) are in a Sep 17th trend of monthly expansion.  Expanding AUM indicates near-term bullish conviction in a price advance.  The lower panel shows that KBE is also in the midst of an Oct 15th trend of quarterly relative outperformance versus the S&P 500. 

As long as these conditions remain true, KBE is likely to continue appreciating in price in the weeks ahead.

Chart 1

Current Sector & Industry Group Ideas

Table 1 below is also accessible via the Asbury ETF Trade Ideas rectangle at the top of the Research Center.

Table 2

Click the table to make it larger