Weekly-updated PDF of all SEAF Rainbow Charts:  Click the link below to download a PDF of this new addition to our research services.

Click Here For This Week’s SEAF Model “Rainbow Charts” Update
Technology Retains Top-Three Status For The 13th Consecutive Week
Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

The SEAF Model shifted slightly over the past week, adding cyclical Financials (XLF) to the top three-ranked sectors while dropping defensive Utilities (XLU).  Meanwhile, economically sensitive Technology (XLK) retained its top-three status for the 13th consecutive week while Industrials (XLI), another economically sensitive sector, retained its top-three ranking for the second consecutive week and for three of the past four weeks.  At the other end of the spectrum, defensive Health Care (XLV) and economically sensitive Energy (XLE) are the two worst-ranked sectors according to SEAF.   

Beyond The SEAF Model Video: This Week’s Sector Themes

This weekly video by Jack Kosar goes into more detail on the latest SEAF Model data via a heat map that provides more detail on where sector-related assets are going, and where they are leaving, in the 11 Sector SPDR ETFs.  Jack also displays and discusses our SEAF “Rainbow Charts” highlighting SEAF’s past 12 months of Favored, Neutral, or Avoid rankings. 

From The Video: This Week’s Major Themes
  • Money aggressively moving into Technology and  Industrials Sectors in All time periods.
  • Money aggressively moving into Financials in the Trading and Tactical time periods.
  • Money aggressively moving out of Health Care and Energy in All time periods.
The SEAF Model: Current Signals & Related Performance

Editor’s Note:  These are the latest specific trading signals generated by our SEAF Model, which also includes a rules-based money management component.  The backtested performance data below is based on trading a predetermined amount of assets with an equal allocation of those assets across the top three Rankings.  The model is updated once per week, on the weekend, and any rebalancing takes place on the market opening the following Monday morning.  This is the recommended way to invest via the SEAF Model.  Contact us for any additional clarification.

In the SEAF Model Graphic below, the Ranking column sorts the entire table of 11 sector ETFs according to the sum of rankings in the Trading (weekly), Tactical (monthly), and Strategic (quarterly) categories, from largest inflows to largest outflows.  The premise of the model is to invest in the sectors where the money is going and to avoid the sectors where the money is coming out.  

The lower the Ranking number, the stronger the trend of asset flows going into that sector.  The top two sectors in each category, according to a positive change in inflows, are highlighted in green.  The top two sectors in each category, according to a negative change in outflows, are highlighted in red.

Click the table to make it larger

The latest data indicate a multi-timeframe trend of asset inflows into Technology and Financials.  This is where the money is currently going in the sector space.

The latest data also indicates a multi-timeframe trend of asset outflows from Health Care and Energy.  This is where the money is coming from.

SEAF Heat Map

SEAF Heat Map: 07-21-2025

The SEAF Heat Map provides additional insight into the flows of the 11 Sector ETFs. Each time frame is independent, meaning the color spectrum for one period does not affect another. For example, the strongest inflow (dark green) for the trading week is separate from the strongest inflow for the tactical month.

The heat map visually represents the spectrum of inflows and outflows, with green indicating inflows and red indicating outflows. The more extreme the flow, the darker the corresponding color—deep green for strong inflows and deep red for strong outflows. Flows closer to yellow indicate minimal percentage change.

This tool serves as an additional layer of information to help investors not only identify where sector flows are moving but also gauge the relative strength of those flows compared to their peers.

SEAF Model Individual Sector Charts (“Rainbow Charts”)

The charts below display the weekly SEAF Model Ranking Scores over the previous 12 months for the strongest and weakest sectors through September 12th.  The line in the upper panel displays these weekly scores within the context of being Favored (3-15, green), Neutral (16-24, yellow), or Avoid (25-33, red) and also displays the trend of asset flows as the money moves in and out of these sectors.  The lower panel plots the corresponding weekly relative performance chart of that particular sector versus the S&P 500 (SPY).

Technology: XLK

Economically sensitive Technology (XLK) is the SEAF Model’s top-ranked sector this week with a Ranking score of 3, which  is the best score possible.  Technology has now been one of the top-three SEAF Sectors for the past 13 weeks and has been ranked #1 in nine of them.  Meanwhile, the lower panel of Chart 1 below shows that XLK has coincidentally outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) by 14%.  As long as Technology retains its current Favored status, recent relative outperformance by XLK versus SPY is likely to continue.

Chart 1

Industrials  (XLI)

Economically sensitive Industrials (XLI) is once again the SEAF Model’s second-ranked sector this week with a Ranking score of 10.  The upper panel of Chart 2 below shows that Industrials most recently moved back into Favored status according to SEAF on Jun 24th.  The lower panel shows that XLU has coincidentally outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) by 2% since then.  As long as Industrialsy retains its current Favored status, recent relative outperformance by XLI versus SPY is likely to continue.

Chart 2

Financials (XLF)

Cyclical Financials (XLF) is the SEAF Model’s third-ranked sector this week with a Ranking score of 13.  The upper panel of Chart 3 below shows that Financials streaked back into Favored status according to SEAF on Jly 17th, for the first time since Apr 22nd.  The green highlights on the left side of the chart show that an extended period of Favored status by Financials between Oct 10th and Dec 4th (upper panel) fueled 5% of relative outperformance by XLF versus SPY.  As long as Financials retains its current Favored status, XLF is likely to outperform the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) in the upcoming weeks.

Chart 3