Industrials, Technology Continue To Attract Investor Assets
Weekly-updated PDF of all SEAF Rainbow Charts: Click the link below to download a PDF of this new addition to our research services.
Click Here For This Week’s SEAF Model “Rainbow Charts” Update
Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy
This week, economically sensitive/offensive Industrials (XLI) and Technology (XLK) are the first- and second-best ranked sectors according to SEAF, as well as the first (XLK) and third (XLI) best performing sectors year to date. Defensive Health Care (XLV) is the third-ranked sector this week, replacing Energy from a week earlier. At the other end of the spectrum, cyclical Consumer Discretionary (XLY), economically sensitive Energy, and defensive Consumer Staples (XLP) are the three weakest sectors this week, according to SEAF.
Beyond The SEAF Model Video: This Week’s Sector Themes
This weekly video by Jack Kosar goes into more detail on the latest SEAF Model data via our SEAF Rainbow Charts and a heat map that provides more color and detail on where sector-related assets are going and where they are coming from across the 11 Sector SPDR ETFs, which together comprise the S&P 500. Our Rainbow Charts highlight SEAF’s previous 12 months of Favored, Neutral, and Avoid rankings.
From The Video: This Week’s Major Themes
- Money is aggressively moving into Industrials in All time periods.
- Money is aggressively moving into Health Care in the Tactical and Strategic time periods.
- Money is aggressively moving out of Consumer Discretionary in All time periods.
The SEAF Model: Current Signals & Related Performance
Editor’s Note: These are the latest specific trading signals generated by our SEAF Model, which also includes a rules-based money management component. The backtested performance data below is based on trading a predetermined amount of assets with an equal allocation of those assets across the top three Rankings. The model is updated once per week, on the weekend, and any rebalancing takes place on the market opening the following Monday morning. This is the recommended way to invest via the SEAF Model. Contact us for any additional clarification.
- Effective Monday 12/15, there is a new buy/overweight signal in the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV).
- The SEAF Model exited it’s 12/8 long/overweight signal in the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) on 12/12 for a 0.1% outright loss while outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) by 0.6%.
- Since 12/1 the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) has risen by 2.8% outright while outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) by 2.3%.
- Since 12/1 the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) has risen by 1.2% outright while outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) by 0.7%.
In the SEAF Model Graphic below, the Ranking column sorts the entire table of 11 sector ETFs according to the sum of rankings in the Trading (weekly), Tactical (monthly), and Strategic (quarterly) categories, from largest inflows to largest outflows. The premise of the model is to invest in the sectors where the money is going and to avoid the sectors where the money is coming out.
The lower the Ranking number, the stronger the trend of asset flows going into that sector. The top two sectors in each category, according to a positive change in inflows, are highlighted in green. The top two sectors in each category, according to a negative change in outflows, are highlighted in red.
Data through 12-11-2025. Click the table above to enlarge
The latest data again indicate a multi-timeframe trend of asset inflows into the Industrials and Health Care sectors. This is where the money is currently going in the sector space.
The latest data also indicate a multi-timeframe trend of asset outflows from the Consumer Discretionary sector. This is where the money is coming from.
SEAF Heat Map
The SEAF Heat Map provides additional insight into the flows of the 11 Sector ETFs. Each time frame is independent, meaning the color spectrum for one period does not affect another. For example, the strongest inflow (dark green) for the trading week is separate from the strongest inflow for the tactical month.
The heat map visually represents the spectrum of inflows and outflows, with green indicating inflows and red indicating outflows. The more extreme the flow, the darker the corresponding color—deep green for strong inflows and deep red for strong outflows. Flows closer to yellow indicate minimal percentage change.
This tool serves as an additional layer of information to help investors not only identify where sector flows are moving but also gauge the relative strength of those flows compared to their peers.
SEAF Model Individual Sector Charts (“Rainbow Charts”)
The charts below display the weekly SEAF Model Ranking Scores over the previous 12 months for the strongest and weakest sectors through October 16th. The line in the upper panel displays these weekly scores within the context of being Favored (3-15, green), Neutral (16-24, yellow), or Avoid (25-33, red) and also displays the trend of asset flows as the money moves in and out of these sectors. The lower panel plots the corresponding weekly relative performance chart of that particular sector versus the S&P 500 (SPY).
Industrials (XLI)
Economically sensitive Industrials (XLI) is the SEAF Model’s top-ranked sector this week with a Ranking score of 10, from 7 a week earlier when it was the second-ranked sector. The upper panel of the chart shows that Industrials initially moved back into Favored status on Nov 21st, following several failed attempts to rise into and remain in Favored status since mid-August. The lower panel shows that XLI has outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) by 3.0% since then. Year-to-date (YTD), according to ssga.com, XLI is the third-best-performing Sector SPDR ETF, rising by 19.0% while outperforming SPY by 2.6%.
Technology (XLK)
Offensive Technology (XLK) is the SEAF Model’s second-ranked sector this week with a Ranking score of 13, from 12 a week earlier when it was the third-ranked sector. Technology has been one of the top three-ranked sectors for 29 of the past 32 weeks beginning on Apr 24th, and has been the top-ranked sector 19 times during this period. This is because expanding investor assets push asset prices higher. The green highlights in Chart 2 below show that Technology most recently moved back into Favored status on Nov 26th, and that it previously spent a sustained period there between Sep 9th and Nov 10th while XLK outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) by 6%. Year-to-date, according to ssga.com, XLK is the best-performing Sector SPDR ETF, rising by 23.6% while outperforming SPY by 7.2%.
Health Care (XLV)
Defensive Health Care (XLV) is the SEAF Model’s third-ranked sector this week with a Ranking score of 14, the same score as the previous week when it was the fourth-ranked sector. Health Care has been one of the top-three-ranked sectors for eight of the past ten weeks, beginning on Oct 13th. The upper panel of Chart 1 below shows that XLV has maintained a Favored SEAF status since Oct 2nd, while the lower panel shows that XLV has currently outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) by 7% and by as much as 10% since then. Year-to-date, according to ssga.com, Health Care is the sixth-best-performing Sector SPDR ETF, rising by 12.0% while underperforming SPY by 4.4%.





