Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) is in the midst of a major uptrend, according to its 200-day moving average, and is currently breaking overhead resistance.  In addition, the total net assets invested in XLE (AUM) are amid a Nov 6th trend of monthly expansion while XLE has also been outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) on a quarterly Strategic basis since Nov 4th.  Together, these factors establish favorable conditions for more outright strength and relative outperformance from XLE and other energy related assets.

XLE Making Fresh HIghs Amid Expanding Assets & Relative Outperformance

The upper panel of Chart 1 below shows that the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) is in the midst of a major uptrend as defined by its 200-day moving average and, more recently, has broken formidable overhead resistance at its Jly 18th 94.51 high.  The middle panel shows that the total net assets invested in XLE (AUM) are in a Nov 6th trend of monthly expansion.  Expanding AUM indicates near-term bullish conviction in a price advance.  The lower panel shows that XLE is also in the midst of a Nov 4th trend of quarterly relative underperformance versus the S&P 500. 

As long as these conditions remain true, XLE is likely to continue appreciating in value in the weeks ahead.

Chart 1

Current Sector & Industry Group Ideas

Table 1 below is also accessible via the Asbury ETF Trade Ideas rectangle at the top of the Research Center.

Table 1

Click the table to make it larger