Be Prepared For A Tough 1st Quarter
Following The Money With Asbury Research is a free podcast and report that we use to stay in contact with individuals and businesses that have expressed interest in our research and services, and to educate them on our data-driven approach to investing. Contact Us to request additional information.
This bi-weekly podcast provides the latest update and overview of our data-driven models:
- the Asbury 6 for Tactical Risk Management
- the Correction Protection Model (CPM) for Wealth Preservation
- the SEAF (Sector ETF Asset Flows) Model for Sector Rotation
- the CARP (Cross Asset Relative Performance) Model for Domestic Asset Allocation
- the US vs. The World Model for Global Asset Allocation
These models collectively answer the two most important questions for investors:
- when to be invested, and
- where to be invested.
Our Latest “Following The Money” Market Metric To Watch
In addition to our bi-weekly Following The Money Podcast, we also choose one chart, Asbury Research model, or data series and accompanying excerpt from our premium research that we believe may best reflect the current condition of the US financial market. This week, we have selected 1st Quarter seasonality in the S&P 500 (SPX).
The chart below shows that the first week of January is the seasonally strongest of the entire 1st Quarter based on data since 1957.
The chart also shows that, aside from some sporadic and modest strength during the final week of January and the second week of February, seasonally remains generally weak until the middle to latter part of March.
So, considering the US stock market’s current over-extended condition (subscribers can get more details about this in the Research Center), we will view the Asbury 6‘s next shift to a Negative status as being especially significant.
Click the image below to view John Kosar’s December 14th video for StocksCharts.com.
Asbury Research subscribers can get more detail on our latest analysis, and updates to our quantitative models, by logging into the Research Center.
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