Following The Money With Asbury Research is a free podcast and report that we use to stay in contact with individuals and businesses that have expressed interest in our research and services, and to educate them on our data-driven approach to investing.  Contact Us to request additional information. 

This bi-weekly podcast provides the latest update and overview of our data-driven models:

  • the Asbury 6 for Tactical Risk Management
  • the Correction Protection Model (CPM) for Wealth Preservation
  • the SEAF (Sector ETF Asset Flows) Model for Sector Rotation
  • the CARP (Cross Asset Relative Performance) Model for Domestic Asset Allocation
  • the US vs. The World Model for Global Asset Allocation

These models collectively answer the two most important questions for investors:

  1. when to be invested, and
  2. where to be invested.

Our Latest “Following The Money” Market Metric To Watch

In addition to our bi-weekly Following The Money Podcast, we also choose one chart, Asbury Research model, or data series and accompanying excerpt from our premium research that we believe may best reflect the current condition of the US financial market.  

This week, we selected our “Rainbow Chart” for the for Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), which achieved buy/overweight status according to our SEAF Model on July 31st and has since outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 (SPY) by 10%

The line in the upper panel of the Rainbow Chart below displays XLE’s weekly scores over the past year within the context of being Favored (3-15, green)Neutral (16-24, yellow), or Avoid (25-33, red) and also displays the trend of asset flows as the money moves in and out of the sector.  The lower panel plots the corresponding weekly relative performance chart of XLE versus the S&P 500 (SPY).

The Energy Sector’s (XLR) “Rainbow Chart” weekly over the past year

Click the chart to view a larger version

The green highlights on the right edge of the chart below show that the SEAF Model Ranking Score for the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) moved into Favored territory (upper panel) at the end of July and, with just two brief exceptions, has remained there since.  This chart is a good example of how positive investor asset flows, as indicated by the SEAF Model, are a coincident, if not leading, indicator of outright strength and relative sector outperformance versus the S&P 500 (lower panel).

More information on all Asbury Research data-driven models is available by Clicking Here.

Asbury Research subscribers can get more detail on our latest analysis, and updates to our quantitative models, by logging into the Research Center.

Click the image below to view John Kosar’s call for a a corrective decline in the S&P 500 in an August 8th 2023 podcast for StockCharts.com

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Disclaimer: This is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation to buy or sell securities. The performance indicated from back-testing or historical track record may not be typical of future performance. No inferences may be made and no guarantees of profitability are being stated by Asbury Research LLC. The risk of loss trading in financial assets can be substantial. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.