Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

News Corporation (NWS) appears to be resuming its August 2020 major uptrend amid coincident quarterly relative performance versus the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX).  A sustained rise above the $23.92 area would help confirm this and would target an additional 12% rise to $28.00 per share.  This is an Asbury Momentum trade idea.

Analysis and Rationale

News Corporation (NWS), a media and information services company, creates and distributes content for consumers and businesses worldwide. It operates in six segments: Digital Real Estate Services, Subscription Video Services, Dow Jones, Book Publishing, News Media, and Other. The company distributes content and data products, including The Wall Street Journal, Factiva, Dow Jones Risk & Compliance, Dow Jones Newswires, Barron’s, and MarketWatch through various media channels, such as newspapers, newswires, websites, applications for mobile devices, tablets and e-book readers, newsletters, magazines, proprietary databases, live journalism, videos, and podcasts. It also owns and operates daily, Sunday, weekly, and bi-weekly newspapers comprising The Australian, The Weekend Australian, The Daily Telegraph, The Sunday Telegraph, Herald Sun, Sunday Herald Sun, The Courier Mail, The Sunday Mail, The Advertiser, Sunday Mail, The Sun, The Sun on Sunday, The Times, The Sunday Times, and New York Post, as well as digital mastheads and other websites. News Corporation is headquartered in New York, New York.

The upper panel of Chart 1 below plots NWS daily since November 2020 along with its 200- and 50-day moving averages, widely-watched major and minor trend proxies.  The lower panel displays a corresponding daily relative performance chart of NWS versus the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX, blue) along with its 63-day moving average (green, quarterly, our Strategic time period).

Chart 1

The rightmost green highlights in the upper panel show that NWS appears to be resuming its August 2020 major uptrend, as defined by its 200-day MA, following an Apr 14th test of the 50-day MA.  Meanwhile, NWS’s current trend of quarterly relative outperformance versus SPX as shown in the lower panel also appears to be resuming following a test of it on that same date.  The leftmost green highlights show that a similar test in both the upper and lower panel on Jan 25th resulted in the resumption of trends of both outright and strength and relative outperformance.  A sustained rise above the 50-day MA, currently situated at $23.92, would help to confirm the trend has resumed and would target an additional 12% rise to $28.00 per share. 

Table 1 below shows that considering the aforementioned upside target and a protective stop placed below the $24.12 area, a long entry price of $24.90 would provide a 1:4.0 risk/reward ratio (risking $1.00 to make $4.00) with an initial risk of 3.1%.

Table 1


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Please consult the table showing our Asbury 6 key market metrics to help determine if this investment is suitable for you.