Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

The SEAF Model exited it’s October 16th long/overweight signal in the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) on the close yesterday, November 1st.  XLE declined by 5.7% outright during this period while underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) by 2.8%. 

The SEAF Model retains its October 9th long/overweight bias in the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK).

Editor’s Note: The atypically erratic signals in the SEAF Model thus far in the 4th Quarter, as the money quickly jumps from one sector to another, is a direct indication of investor uncertainty as the market tries to determine whether 4200 major support in the S&P 500 is a new buying opportunity or the starting point of a new major downtrend.