Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

Chart 1 below shows that the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) will begin today’s session right on top of Primary Tactical Support at 5428-5427, which represents the 50-day moving average (minor trend proxy) and the October 2023 minor uptrend line.  This is where the current November 2023 minor uptrend must resume if still valid.  A significant (more than just 10-20 index points) and sustained (more than just a day or two) decline below this support would indicate a minor bearish trend change and clear the way for a deeper decline. 

Major underlying support is currently 8.7% below the market at 4969 to 4954 and represents the 200-day MA and the Apr 19th benchmark low.  The current January 2023 major uptrend will remain valid above it. 

Chart 1