Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

The benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) will begin today’s session situated just below Tactical overhead resistance at 4426 to 4455.  This is where the current downside correction in SPX, based on our Asbury 6 and Correction Protection Model (CPM), should resume if still valid.  A sustained move above this resistance area, accompanied by a shift back to Positive / Risk On by the A6 and CPM, would be necessary to indicate this correction is over and the 2021 advance has resumed.

Analysis

Heading into today’s session, the blue and red highlights in Chart 1 below show that the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) is situated just below Tactical overhead resistance at 4426 to 4455.

Chart 1

This cluster of overhead resistance represents:

  • 4426: the 50.0% retracement of the Sep 2nd to Sep 20th decline,
  • 4428: the price gap between the 4428 Sep 17th low and the 4403 Sep 20th high,
  • 4436:  the 50-day moving average (minor trend proxy), and
  • 4455: the 50.0% retracement of the Sep 2nd to Sep 20th decline,

With the Asbury 6 currently on a Negative status as of Sep 14th and the Correction Protection Model (CPM) on a Risk Off status as of Sep 20th, this cluster of overhead resistance is where the current corrective decline in SPX should resume if it is still valid.