Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy

The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is currently setting new all-time highs following a successful test of its 50-day moving average, a widely-watched minor trend proxy, amid monthly expansion in investor assets and quarterly relative outperformance versus the S&P 500 (SPY).  Together, these factors establish favorable conditions for more outright strength and relative outperformance by GLD and other gold related assets.  We have been moving in and out of GLD, profitably, since Jan 31st. 

 

GLD Setting New All-Time Highs Amid Expanding Assets And Relative Outperformance Versus Equities

The upper panel of Chart 1 below shows that the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is in the midst of a Jan 10th minor uptrend according to its blue 50-day moving average and is currently rebounding from an Apr 7th retest of that trend.  The middle panel shows that the total net assets invested in GLD (AUM) have been expanding on a 21-day monthly basis since Jan 8th and are rebounding from an Apr 8th test of that trend.  Expanding assets indicate bullish conviction in higher prices.  The lower panel shows that GLD has been outperforming the S&P 500 on  a 63-day quarterly basis also since Jan 10th.  

As long as these three conditions remain intact, GLD is likely to continue moving higher in the weeks ahead.

Chart 1

Current Sector & Industry Group Ideas

Table 1 below is also accessible via the Asbury ETF Trade Ideasrectangle at the top of the Research Center.

Table 1

Click the table to make it larger