Conclusion, Investment Implications, Strategy
The Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) is in the midst of an emerging major uptrend amid monthly asset expansion and quarterly relative outperformance versus the S&P 500 (SPY). This suggests a potential new buy/overweight opportunity in UUP and other Dollar-related assets.
UUP: Emerging Major Uptrend Amid Expanding Assets & Relative Outperformance vs. SPX
The upper panel of Chart 1 below indicates that the Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) is in the midst of an emerging major uptrend, as defined by its 200-day moving average (major trend proxy), while its 50-day moving average is crossing the 200-day to indicate an intermediate-term bullish momentum change. The middle panel shows that the total net assets invested in UUP (AUM) are in an Oct 8th trend of monthly expansion. Expanding assets indicate conviction in a positive price trend. The lower panel shows that UUP is also in the midst of an emerging Nov 17th trend of quarterly relative outperformance versus the S&P 500 (SPY). Together, these metrics indicate favorable conditions for UUP and other similar Dollar-related assets to continue their recent strength.
Chart 1
Current Sector & Industry Group Ideas
Table 1 below is also accessible via the Asbury ETF Trade Ideas rectangle at the top of the Research Center.
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Performance Metrics Through Q3 2025
The table below breaks down the 109 individual trade ideas published in real time via our Asbury ETF Trade Ideas from March 17th, 2023, through September 30th, 2025, for a total of 2 1/2 years. Our Asbury ETF Trade Ideas are accessible directly from the Research Center.
These ideas are intended to be potential short-term trading opportunities rather than long-term investments. However, many users use them to provide exceptional, low-risk entry points into ETFs that they want to add as long-term portfolio holdings.
In addition, since the 30 months of data shown below indicate 1) how long our average holding period has been (18 days) and 2) what our average percent gain has been (4.9%) for winning trades, options traders may consider using these data to purchase out-of-the-money calls with less than a month left until expiration.
Glossary Of Financial Terms
Performance Highlights
- the percentage of winning trades is higher than the percentage of losing trades.
- the average winning trade is more than double the average losing trade.
- the average winning trade length (in days) is more than twice as long as the average losing trade length.
- During the past 30 months, our model has, on average, produced approximately one new trade idea per week.
How We Choose Which ETFs To Trade
Our selection process is to scan a broad list of ETFs daily, looking for four characteristics of successful trades:
- a positive major price trend
- monthly relative outperformance versus the benchmark S&P 500
- monthly investor asset expansion
- favorable risk/reward characteristics.
Please contact us with any questions or for further information.